Re: Summer 2016 | Page 96

What do you think the effect of Britain leaving the EU will have on your business if any? We are a local business serving the local business community so I do not foresee any major changes for us. Does your company do business with Europe currently and would this change if we voted to leave? Not to any great degree so no change for us! Name: Barry Carden Job title: Managing partner Business name: Cardens Accountants Name: Ian Poysden Job title: Managing Director Business name: IEP Financial What do you think the effect of Britain leaving the EU will have on your business if any? A Brexit is likely to have a minimal financial impact to our business, but in the short term it will create challenges within our client’s portfolio’s. We believe that Brexit would have little impact on global economic growth, unless it was deemed as a warning that the EU/Eurozone could break up but other possible impacts include: • Likely to be a negative impact on UK economic growth, depending on whether there was a soft or hard exit from EU. • Sterling would continue to weaken, thereby boosting UK based global companies’ competitiveness and 94 How do you think that an exit from the EU will impact on your customers? We have several clients who trade significantly with Europe but I doubt they will be heavily affected, I do not buy into the ‘europe will not trade with us’ argument ensure currency translation derived earnings upgrades. • Gilts would probably underperform, given the economic uncertainties and the imported inflation risk arising from Sterling weakness. We have a number of clients with Gilts so we would look at how best to support and protect their investments here. • Many UK retailers would struggle as they tend to buy in stock from overseas. Imported inflation could eat into consumers real disposable income and this will also affect the performance of retail banks. • There would be negative implications for the outlook of the central London commercial real estate market. • Some asset prices would be impacted by speculation that another Scottish ‘independence’referendum might be forthcoming. All of the above would in some way affect our clients and as their Advisers we will be heavily involved in looking after their portfolios through the possible transition. Does your company do business with Europe currently and would this change if we voted to leave? Not directly but we do work with a number of other businesses who do work closely with financial markets within the EU and they will be affected. For instance, our investment partners may need to consider reducing exposure to domestically focussed UK equity holdings for our clients where this is applicable. Do you feel that you have been given enough information to be able to make a fully informed decision on whether to leave or not? As you are comparing a current know with future unknown, I think it is very difficult to accurately assess the position and therefore no amount of current information can predict the future, only guide our view on it. There are lots of ‘facts’ in the domain now but they are spin and opinion not facts which is why the decision is so difficult. For purely business reasons would you vote to stay in or leave? Businesses always prefer certainty over the unknown so I think this makes us in even if we are not convinced it would give us the best long term prospects. There would of course be changes to how all businesses interact with the rest of Europe after a Brexit, but we hope it doesn’t come to that. How do you think that an exit from the EU will impact on your customers? Our clients will need additional advice if a Brexit took place, particularly those who use us to advise on investments and pensions. It is difficult to say exactly as we have such a wide range of clients but there will be many, such as those who work for EU companies based in the UK or corporate clients who work closely alongside EU partners who may find themselves in a very different situation financially if Brexit took place. Do you feel that you have been given enough information to be able to make a fully informed decision on whether to leave or not? As a business we have been keeping a close eye on the political movements and opinions over the past few months. There will be many people who will argue they haven’t received the information they need. If you ignore the tabloids and stick to the hard facts on the pro’s and con’s everybody should be in a position to make an informed decision. The bookmaker odds currently support us staying in Europe. Not always a good guide, but it does indicate ‘joe public ’ are putting their money on staying in Europe. For purely business reasons would you vote to stay in or leave? Stay in.