Pro Installer October 2016 - Issue 43 | Page 14

14 OCTOBER 2016 PRO INSTALLER PRO NEWS www.proinstaller.co.uk GET ON WITH THE JOB OF BREXIT The UK will begin the formal Brexit negotiation process by the end of March 2017, prime minister Theresa May has said meaning the country could leave the EU by summer 2019. In the meantime, the debate about whether the UK is entering a recession or not rumbles on like a rollercoaster. Here, Ian Anfield, managing director for the construction audit, contract and payroll provider, Hudson Contract, gives a view. “Whether we’re entering a recession or not is a big talking point at the moment. Certainly, we at Hudson Contract have seen that the number of operatives averaged per client has dipped by 4.5% in the last three months, but it’s unclear if that means an output dip or the beginning of a long downturn. “There are so many factors to be considered but I have an impression that any downturn may be relatively short-lived. HSBC’s chief economist commented that the government has done a number of credible things since the vote. These included ensuring new leadership headed by Theresa May, ruling out an early general election and ruling out an emergency budget. Taking time to speak with European leaders and not triggering Article 50 this year all seems to make economic common sense. “It’s certainly not all doom and gloom. The latest reports from the Purchasing Managers’ Index reveal that construction output also recovered last month following a seven-year low in July. It appears that business confidence is stabilising and the feared short-term effects of the referendum have been short-lived to a certain extent. “Overall I’m definitely one for seeing the glass being half-full for the construction industry. Private business can and will build if the government act in a decisive and positive way to minimise the uncertainty the Brexit vote created. We’ve all seen how Team GB performed recently - it’s time the whole country took on the ‘Believe’ mantra.” Brexit was at the top of the agenda at the Tory party conference in Birmingham earlier in October. Theresa May attacked those who “have still not accepted the result of the referendum,” adding: “It is up to the government not to question, quibble or backslide on what we have been instructed to do, but to get on with the job.” www.hudsoncontract.co.uk BREXIT AFFECTS LIKELIHOOD OF MOVING HOUSE Home services marketplace Plentific.com’s latest research has found that Brexit continues to impact the likelihood of moving for one in five British homeowners. Plentific’s latest survey of 2,000 adults has revealed that there is still uncertainty surrounding the housing market after the Brexit vote. 22% of homeowners have indicated that Brexit is affecting the likelihood of them moving in the short term; 10% of owners are now more likely to move home in the next three years, with 12% now less likely to uproot. Looking at London, over a quarter (26%) of owners in the capital are more likely to sell their home in the next three years because of Brexit, with 11% less likely. With average prices currently reaching £484,716 (ONS: July 2016), could this latest insight suggest a flood of properties about to hit the market, which in turn would likely to see a reduction in prices? Londoners also have a high percentage more inclined to make home improvements: 27% of property owners in London are looking to invest in their home rather than face the housing market. The Plentific surveys also found that there has been a 50% rise in homeowners who are more likely to make home improvements in the wake of Brexit. These figures illustrate how, in this instance, the post-Brexit panic has subsided and the public are feeling more relaxed about spending money. This change of heart is particularly apparent in the north east and north west of the UK where the number of homeowners likely to make improvements has more than doubled. 21% of owners in the north west ‘research shows that the public are still unsure of our future’ are now more likely to attempt a home improvement project with the north east at 19%. Statistically, the north majority voted for Brexit which could explain why they are adjusting faster than the south. Cem Savas, co-founder of Plentific.com commented: “We knew Brexit would have massive consequences for the UK housing market and our research shows that the public are still unsure of our future. Despite the fear-mongering and confusion which has surrounded the topic, Plentific’s statistics show that homeowners are now more relaxed about the idea of spending money on their property. Interestingly, our research highlights the current nervous property market in London, with a quar ter of Londoners ready to cash in and sell up.” https://plentific.com/