Military Review English Edition May-June 2014 | Page 37

BEYOND COCAINE COWBOYS Former chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff Adm. Michael Mullen stated, “The most significant threat to our national security is our debt.”4 Consistent with this true statement, U.S. security policy has a vital role in improving the economic prosperity of our nation. As “the third pillar of the West, alongside Europe and North America,” Latin America can have a significant economic effect on the United States.5 Cultural ties with the region are rapidly strengthening; U.S. Latinos are expected to make up a third of the population by 2050.6 The United States may find itself with more Spanish speakers than any other country. Economic opportunities are remarkable; last year, U.S. trade with the region exceeded $700 billion.7 The population of Latin America is nearly 600 million, roughly half the population of China.8 Geo-strategist Parag Khanna makes a powerful argument for a U.S. focus not on Asia, but rather on Latin America. He argues persuasively that by increasing commerce with Latin America, the United States can significantly boost economic prosperity in the hemisphere.9 The diplomatic and economic elements of national power are already deeply involved in development, but these initiatives will be stymied in the absence of a matching military and law enforcement effort. If the United States is to pursue a more robust policy toward increasing our economic partnerships with Latin American countries, the security of their citizens will be a prerequisite. One need only look to Colombia to see the importance of security in economic development. A decade of successful security policies under presidents Alvaro Uribe and Juan Manuel Santos have reduced the number of Revolutionary Armed Forces of Colombia members by half. Colombia’s focus on “democratic security” has delivered positive results in virtually every measure of citizen security: kidnappings declined 89 percent, homicides 49 percent, and terrorist attacks 66 percent.10 As a result, Colombia’s gross domestic product averaged a 4.54 percent growth rate from 2002 to 2012, increasing by $244 billion.11 The U.S. role in Colombia’s success was driven mainly by Plan Colombia counterdrug funding. However, not all destabilizing forces in the region fit into the drug trafficking mold. MILITARY REVIEW May-June 2014 Powerful criminal gangs are a serious problem throughout the region and especially in Central America. The most dangerous criminal gangs, often referred to as “third-generation gangs,” are militarized criminal groups that use guerrilla or rudimentary light-infantry tactics against the state.12 These groups often engage in retail drug sales but do not reach the transnational level that would invite significant U.S. counterdrug interventions; yet, their impact on citizen security is tremendous. It is estimated that crime costs almost The Darien region of Panama remains so remote and outside of government control that the Pan-American Highway has yet to bridge the complex terrain. eight percent of Central America’s gross domestic product, some $20 billion.13 Perhaps worse is the loss of untold amounts of foreign direct investment that goes to safer locales. Stability and security are crucial for developing extensive hemispheric economic infrastructure. Criminal groups limit the free flow of commerce, engaging in illegal taxation and extortion in cities, seaports, airports, and highways. The Darien region of Panama remains so remote and outside government control that the Pan-American Highway has yet to bridge the complex terrain. Given the economic benefit this highway would have for the region, it should be a priority for U.S. security efforts. Moreover, pipelines, mining, electrical grids, and other valuable economic infrastructure are often the target of attack by criminal groups and insurgents. Unfortunately, infrastructure security is largely a secondary priority behind counterdrug engagement. Security cooperation will need to expand outside the limitations of its current construction if stability is the overarching goal. The need to contend with state threats and border tensions often becomes secondary to the 35