Military Review English Edition May-June 2014 | Page 34

necessary, but changes in the strategic climate are not as dramatic as some proclaim. Similarly, some aspects of war change with the times while its nature remains constant. Clausewitz advised planning should account for the contemporary character of war.54 Advances in cyberspace are changing war’s character but not totally eclipsing traditional means. Sir John Slessor noted, “If there is one attitude more dangerous than to assume that a future war will be just like the last one, it is to imagine that it will be so utterly different that we can afford to ignore all the lessons of the last one.”55 Further, Lonsdale advised exploiting advances in cyberspace but not to “expect these changes to alter the nature of war.”56 Wars will continue to be governed by politics, affected by chance, and waged by people even if through cyberspace.57 Do not overpromise. Advocates of wielding cyberpower must bridle their enthusiasm enough to see that its utility only exists within a strategic context. Colin Gray claimed airpower enthusiasts “all but invited government and the public to ask the wrong questions and hold air force performance to irrelevant standards of superheroic effectiveness.”58 By touting decisive, independent, strategic capabilities, airpower advocates often failed to meet such hyped expectations in actual conflicts. Strategic contexts may have occurred where airpower alone could achieve strategic effects, but more often, airpower was one of many tools employed. Cyberpower is no different. Gray claimed, “When a new form of war is analyzed and debated, it can be difficult to persuade prophets that prospective efficacy need not be conclusive.”59 Cyberpower advocates must recognize not only its advantages, but also its limitations applied in a strategic context. Conclusion If cyberpower is the potential to use cyberspace to achieve desired outcomes, then the strategic context is key to understanding its utility. As the character of war changes and cyberpower joins the fight alongside other domains, military leaders must make sober judgments about what it can contribute to achieving desired outcomes. Decision makers must weigh the opportunities and advantages cyberspace presents against the vulnerabilities and limit