Internet Learning Volume 3, Number 2, Fall 2014 | Page 63

Internet Learning Table 2. Regression models predicting final course grades as a function of gender and self-efficacy Model 1 Model 2 Gender 4.69* 2.45 Self-efficacy (pretest) 3.82** R 2 0.07 0.15 RMSE 8.49 8.19 * p < 0.05, ** p < 0.01, *** p < 0.001 final course performance with some reasonable level of accuracy. This result suggests that instructors ought to make this information known to students, ideally through a computerized early detection system that automatically alerts instructors when the model predicts that a student may fail the course. Such a system ought to also be available to students, both to help students stay on track in the course and to help students learn and internalize the important metacognitive skills of self-monitoring. Our analysis of the relationship between gender, self-efficacy, and course performance suggests a different understanding of the gender gap in physics. Female students’ lower levels of self-efficacy (a mean of 3.2 on a 5-point scale, compared to 3.8 for their male counterparts) suggest that self-efficacy differences may be at least partly responsible for the gender gap. This suggests that an important next study is to examine in detail what factors lead to the gender gap of self-efficacy in science. The success of the very short (seven-item) self-efficacy measure suggests that there may be other noncognitive characteristics that might also be predictive of later student performance. We were surprised to discover that students’ self-efficacy of their performance in the Peer Instruction environment did not help to predict students’ final grades, especially since both general self-efficacy and students’ actual performance on the ConcepTests both were highly predictive. One avenue of future work is to refine our instrument for measuring Peer Instruction self-efficacy so that it might be more predictive of final grades. Another is to examine other noncognitive abilities that can be measured early on and that are predictive of course outcomes (e.g., study skills and habits, attitudes towards learning and the discipline, etc). Even though our analysis was retrospective and does not demonstrate causality between self-efficacy and course outcomes, the results do suggest that the development of an intervention to help improve students’ self-efficacy may be worthwhile, especially for women. Further, given that our study was conducted in one classroom at one institution, future work that replicates and expands on these findings across a range of disciplines and institutions would be valuable in helping to shape what a successful intervention would look like. 62