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CLINICAL NEWS TABLE American College of Cardiology Extended Learning Base Case* and Clinical Outcomes among Patients with FH Person-years of treatment (millions) Total MACE averted NNT for 5 years to avert one MACE 22.3 23.7 115,900 324,200 77 28 Statin Statin + Ezetimibe Statin + PCSK9 inhibitor QALYs gained Comparator 250,600 665,200 Incremental Drug Costs (million $) Incremental Costs, Other CV Care (million $) ICER ($/QALY) $40,359 $210,516 -$6,632 -$17,304 $135,000 $290,000 CV = cardiovascular; FH = familial hypercholesterolemia; ICER = incremental cost-effectiveness ratio; MACE = major adverse cardiovascular event (nonfatal MI, nonfatal stroke, and CV death); QALY = quality-adjusted life year. • Why are underpowered data sufficient to make treatment decisions on subpopulations (women and non-whites)? • Is it time to stop comparing women to men and fund an adequately powered primary prevention women-only trial? FAMILIAL HYPERGLYCEMIA Over the past decade, John J.P. Kastelein, MD, PhD, of the Academic Medical Center/University of Amsterdam, notes that we have witnessed the unparalleled success of statins to treat dyslipidemia. Target identification by Mendelian randomization, human monoclonal antibodies, gene therapy, RNA-based targets, and atherogenic lipoproteins other than LDL-C have fueled intense development efforts that may bear fruit, providing new treatment options, in the very near future.2 However, right now—as noted earlier in this issue of ACCEL—there are two new PCSK9 inhibitors, which, Dr. Kastelein said, has converted familial hypercholesterolemia (FH) from a lethal disorder to a manageable dyslipidemia. Given strong evidence that lower LDL-C is better in these individuals, now one of To listen to the the challenges is finding them, interview with C. preferably before their first Noel Bairey Merz, myocardial infarction brings MD, visit the CSWN YouTube channel them to medical attention. or scan the QR. Just how many patients Interview conducted by Michael Hugh will likely be put on these Sketch, Jr., MD. new monoclonal antibodies to PCSK9? Assuming that the early use will be limited to FH patients and for very high-risk patients with documented statin intolerance, Dr. Bairey Merz estimates that, for the foreseeable future, use of PCSK9 inhibitors will be limited to roughly 10% or less of the CVD population. OUCH – AND NO THANK YOU That may seem like a small percentage of patients given that these drugs are more powerful than statins. Cost is definitely a consideration, given that PCSK9 pricing levels are now known, running a 22 CardioSource WorldNews little over $14,000 per year in the U.S. That’s well above earlier analyst estimates and on another planet from a Sept. 2015 draft report from the U.S. Institute for Clinical Economic Review (ICER), suggesting that the drugs should cost approximately 85% less than priced. (Which would reduce the price to about $175 a month.) In case you’re wondering, the annual cost of ezetimibe is $2,828, based on wholesale acquisition cost. Wow, what do you think the final report will say? Let’s look, because it was published Nov. 24, 2015.3 After various analyses, including cost effectiveness and number needed to treat, the draft ICER value-based price benchmark for each of the new PCSK9 inhibitor drugs was $2,177. As the report states, “This figure represents an 85% discount from the full wholesale acquisition cost assumed in our analysis ($14,350).” The ICER study authors did use a budget impact model to estimate what would happen if both the FH and cardiovascular disease (CVD) populations were treated based on certain uptake pattern assumptions. They estimate that 527,000 individuals will receive PCSK9 therapy in the first year. After 1 year of PCSK9 treatment, cost offsets due to reduced cardiovascular adverse events were estimated to range from $592 per patient with FH to $1,010 per patient for patients with CVD who are statin-intolerant. Including th is cost offset, their estimated 1-year budget impact is still high: approximately $7.2 billion for all patient populations. The TABLE demonstrates that, compared with statin therapy, incremental treatment with ezetimibe would avert 115,900 Major Adverse Cardiac Events (MACE) over the lifetime horizon and produce 250,600 additional QALYs with an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio of $135,000/QALY vs. current (statin) treatment. Adding PCSK9 inhibitors to current treatment would avert 324,200 MACE and produce 665,200 additional QALYs, producing an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio of $290,000/QALY. This higher ICER for PCSK9 inhibitors is driven largely by differences in the drug costs noted above. Here are a few more numbers: As uptake of new PCSK9 inhibitors is estimated to increase over the first 5 years of use, the ICER report estimates that approximately 2.6 million persons will receive PCSK9 inhibitor therapy for 1 or more years by the end of that period. Total budgetary impact over 5 years is estimated at approximately $19 billion, $15 billion, and $74 billion for the FH, CVD statin-intolerant, and CVD not at LDL-C target subpopulations, respectively. Finally, what’s happening in the real world as decisions are made about these newly approved agents? On Nov. 24, 2015, CVS announced that only evolocumab will be offered in the U.S. in the CVS/ Caremark commercial formularies. In a press release, the company said the decision came after a thorough evaluation of the two new PCSK9 inhibitor therapies. “We have determined that choosing a single PCSK9 inhibitor for our commercial formularies allows us to get the best price possible,” according to Troyen A. Brennan, MD, MPH, executive vice president and chief medical officer, CVS Health. That’s the opposite of what happened a few days earlier when the UK’s National Institute for Health and Care Excellence (NICE) published draft guidance not recommending evolocumab as an option for people with primary hypercholesterolemia— heterozygous-familial and non-familial—and mixed dyslipidemia. The UK price was too much for the regulators to stomach: annually, it is the British pound equivalent of $6,763.49 for 140 mg every 2 weeks and $9,310.10 for 420 mg/month. It is doubtful we have heard the last of the PCSK9 cost debate. ■ REFERENCES: 1. Stone NJ, Robinson JG, Lichtenstein AH, et al. J Am Coll Cardiol. 2014;63:2889-934. 2. Kastelein JJ. Nat Rev Cardiol. 2014;11:629-31. 3. Tice JA, Ollendorf DA, Cunningham C, et al. for the Institute for Clinical and Economic Review. PCSK9 Inhibitors for Treatment of High Cholesterol: Effectiveness, Value, and Value-Based Price Benchmarks. 2015 Nov. 24: 1-113. Available online: cepac.icer-review.org/adaptations/cholesterol/. Take-aways • Despite recent (and recently validated) guidelines on cholesterol management, major issues remain. • One issue is the large “doughnut hole” of missing data on key subgroups, such as women and nonwhite individuals. • A second issue is how broadly the new PCSK9 inhibitors will be used given their costs. January 2016