World Food Policy Volume 1, Number 1, Spring 2014 | Page 13

World Food Policy Food Price and Trade Policy Evolution Since the 1950s: A Global Perspective1 Kym Anderson2 In both rich and poor countries, food markets have been subjected to some of the most heavy-handed governmental interventions. Policy developments in this sector since the 1950s have been mostly gradual but persistent, involving in many cases a change from taxing to subsidizing farmers—and from subsidizing to taxing food consumers—as national per capita incomes grow. In a few important countries there also have been transformational policy reforms, and in all countries there tends to be only partial short-run transmission of international price fluctuations to domestic markets—a tendency that has not declined over time. This paper summarizes indicators of these trends and fluctuations in price-distorting impacts of policies for a sample of 82 countries, using a global set of annual data from 1955 to 2011. It then draws implications for what policy interventions might evolve over coming years, especially as emerging economies attain and move beyond middle-income status. JEL codes: F13, F14, N50, Q17, Q18 Keywords: Distortions to food markets, nominal rate of assistance, welfare reduction index Introduction trade has been to protect domestic producers from import competition as they come under competitive pressure to shed labor. Such measures harm not only domestic food consumers and exporters of other products but also foreign producers and traders of food products. For decades, agricultural protection and subsidies in high-income (and some middle-income) countries have depressed international prices of farm products, lowering the earnings of farmers and associated rural businesses in developing countries. Meanwhile, developing countries’ policies have further depressed the price incentives for their farmers, thus exacerbating the deleterious effects on them of the richer A gricultural and food industries have been subjected throughout history to perhaps more governmental interventions than any other sector of national economies. As of 2004, agricultural trade-related policies are estimated to account for 70 percent of the global welfare cost of the world’s merchandise trade distortions, even though the agricultural sector contributes only 6 percent of global trade and 3 percent of global GDP (Anderson, Cockburn, and Martin 2010, Table 2.3). For advanced economies, the most commonly articulated reason to restrict food 1 This paper draws on one section of a recent survey, co-authored by Gordon Rausser and Johan Swinnen, published in the June 2013 issues of the Journal of Economic Literature. I thank those co-authors for their insights, and also Signe Nelgen for assistance with the figures and tables. Financial support from the Australian Research Council and Rural Industries Research and Development Corporation is also gratefully acknowledged. 2 George Gollin Professor of Economics, School of Economics, University of Adelaide; CEPR Fellow; and Professor of Economics, Arndt-Corden Department of Economics, Australian National University, Canberra. 12