Military Review English Edition May-June 2014 | Page 67

P E R S I S T E N T CO N F L I C T In the 1990s, the ultraviolent tri-war between the Colombian military, the independent United Self-Defense Forces of Colombia (Autodefensas Unidas de Colombia, or AUC), and the Marxist Revolutionary Armed Forces of Colombia— People’s Army (Fuerzas Armadas Revolucionarias de Colombia, or FARC) was threatening to drag the country into anarchy. In 2000, under the Clinton Administration, Congress approved a security assistance package worth over $1 billion.9 In Colombia, the AUC demobilized as the Colombian security forces were better able to contain the FARC. In 2012, Colombian president Santos finally announced that FARC was willing to negotiate an end to the longest conflict in the Western Hemisphere.10 While there have been no such negotiations in the Philippines, the influx of security assistance appears to have set the stage for a peaceful settlement. The U.S. military and government agencies have been instrumental in helping the armed forces of the Philippines capture or kill leaders of the militant group Abu Sayyaf and the Moro Islamic Liberation Front, antigovernment organizations operating in the south.11 Conversely, hundreds of thousands of men and vast expenditures of money failed to turn the tide in Vietnam. The Afghan surge appears to have done little, while Iraq is poised to slip back into chaos. Why the Difference? Common to our successes is the careful application of limited resources appropriate to each situation and over the long run. Analysts at the RAND Corporation uncovered similar conclusions in the study, Victory Has A Thousand Fathers: Sources of Success in Counterinsurgency. 12 Perhaps unsurprising to some, the length of time needed for concerted interagency support to a counterinsurgency (COIN) effort was inverse to how the United States preferred to fight its conventional wars. Plans in El Salvador, Colombia, and the Philippines were designed to last years, while the war against Iraq was meant to last weeks. During a COIN operation, resources were used inversely to logistically heavy conventional war.13 Instead of turning on the spigot to support a COIN effort, resources—both personnel and material—were MILITARY REVIEW May-June 2014 tightly controlled and often subject to regular congressional oversight.14 This strategy of persistent engagement over the long term could solve some vexing problems. First, it is an economy-of-force effort needing relatively few resources. If applied early, then the United States may be able to avoid massive and costly deployments of direct combat forces. The range of threats described in the Capstone Concept for Joint Operations: Joint Force 2020 can be engaged early, before larger and more lethal options might be needed. Second, small special operations task forces executing a strategy of persistent engagement can avoid the public war weariness associated with long campaigns.15 Conducting persistent engagement on a small scale helps avoid drawing media attention. Remaining out of the public eye extends national perseverance. U.S. forces deployed to El Salvador, C olombia, and the Philippines were from the special operations community. In Colombia’s case, increased support via the “Plan Colombia” began shortly before 9/11. American media attention naturally gravitated to the Middle East. In El Salvador’s case, news media did report heavily on U.S. involvement there, sensing a potential repeat of the Vietnam disaster of the previous decade. In most cases, Americans were aware of U.S. involvement in El Salvador, and they opposed large-scale intervention.16 The few U.S. casualties that did occur were framed as criminal activity, usually in cities, and far from the combat patrols of the El Salvadoran army. Additionally, since Congress had prohibited U.S. personnel from patrolling with the units they trained, only a few news reports attempted to link U.S. advisory efforts to human rights abuses. Because of its low cost and limited media attention, engagement can continue for as many years as needed. This allows a generational approach—appropriate when engaging insurgent or terrorist networks. This soft approach, with small numbers of personnel concentrating on training and appropriate nonlethal support, often decreases casualties. The hallmark of the campaigns in El Salvador, Colombia, and the Philippines is that the main effort has not been the military, and the primary tools used by the military have not been lethal. 65