HOCK.ly - Future of Hockey Content Free Agency Edition | Page 11

As for Koivu, he may also be a depreciating asset, but the 38-year-old Finn is still a complete, do-it-all player handling the tough minutes, winning faceoffs, killing penalties, working the power play, scoring in the shoot-out and giving his team a great attempted shot differential.

Colby Armstrong may appear to be a younger alternative, but he's one of the players who has unfortunately been flattered by the five-year spread chosen for this chart. While a promising two-way forward a few years ago, his more recent usage and performance is far more similar to the defensive third-line group of Maxim Lapierre, David Steckel, Chuck Kobasew and Eric Nystrom.

If looking for a defensive-minded UFA forward, the best one available is definitely Boyd Gordon. Despite handling the toughest minutes, Gordon's team no longer gets bombed while he's on the ice - unlike earlier in his career, and unlike those being used similarly. He's also a lights-out faceoff specialist, one of the league's top penalty killers, and at 29 isn't as close to his expiry date as rapidly declining assets like Jerred Smithson (34), Marty Reasoner (36) and Radek Dvorak (36).

Turning back to offense, the highest five-year even-strength scoring rates among UFA forwards, after Elias and Dupuis, is Nathan Horton (2.27 points per 60 minutes), who is smack dab in the middle of the chart. The 28-year-old winger, whose talents were on full display throughout Boston's two recent Stanley Cup runs (36 points

and +31 in 43 games) also has the highest attempted shot differential of all UFA forwards.

UFA Defensemen

Not a lot of defensemen are available this year, and most of them are best suited to a third pairing, so expect to see some overpayments. Teams looking to sign a UFA defenseman who can handle the toughest minutes better get in on the bidding for shut-down specialists Rob Scuderi and Toni Lydman or, failing that, Ron Hainsey. After that, there's a steep drop-off.

Those teams looking for a solid veteran 4th defenseman have arguably eight options – Marek Zidlicky, Michal Rozsival, Douglas Murray, Ryan O'Byrne, Joe Corvo, Jordan Leopold, Andrew Ference and Ryan Whitney. Of them, Zidlicky is certainly the most attractive both offensively and in driving possession while remaining decent defensively – unfortunately he'll likely come with a steep price tag.

Bargain-hunters looking to add offense might get a deal on the injury-prone Whitney, who is coming off a bad year – those less willing to take risks might opt for Corvo. Murray and O'Byrne are both defense-only options, while the others offer a mix of both offense and defense, with Michal Rozsival standing out statistically as the slight favourite.

The remaining defensemen are veteran third-line options, and the key is to avoid paying much more than a million or a million and a half for such players.

Closing Word

Player Usage Charts are sometimes known as “Sledgehammer Charts” for driving massive holes in arguments made for those enjoying favorable playing conditions. By looking at how players are being deployed it's possible to put their statistics in the proper context, making it easier to find bargains and to avoid the UFA day duds.